Browse Topic: Reliability

Items (436)
Gearbox casing cracks in helicopters would be critical impacting the aircraft's reliability and operation safety directly. The Defense Science and Technology Group (DSTG) HUMS2025 gearbox casing failure data set was the unexpected result of a test stand operation. The gearbox undergoes high cycle (> 400 acquisitions) under high torque (100% and 125% nominal torque) conditions. We hypothesized that the any cracking would be due to the planet/ring gear interaction. A condition indicator (CI) would be sensitive to a crack feature and this would be sensitive to change in gearbox torque. This paper explores the development of both a cyclo-stationary based CI (frequency-domain) and a time synchronous average CI (time-domain). The trend shows that proposed methods can help to detect localized defects in gearbox casing at an early stage and trend as the crack propagates before catastrophic failure occurs.
Cho, ChangikBechhoefer, Eric
In this work, a vision-based solution is developed to address the challenge of landing on a ship deck with precision and accuracy. For an autonomous landing, it is important to have a fast and accurate pose estimation system along with a reliable control strategy. This research uses fractal ArUCo markers instead of multiple separate markers to allow smooth pose estimation at different heights. Pose estimates are further improved using an Extended Kalman Filter, and a tracking algorithm then uses these estimates to guide the landing. A four degree-of-freedom (roll, pitch, heave and sway) simulator platform was built and used to validate the algorithm. The accuracy of the vision system is compared against that of a motion capture system. Real-world experiments were performed on different quadrotors to demonstrate tracking and landing on the platform with sway, roll, and pitch motions. The results show that the system is efficient and reliable in achieving safe and successful landings. The proposed landing system is concluded to be applicable for landings on the deck of the ship under sea-state 4.
Venkatesh, K S
Rotorcraft dynamic component fatigue lives and corresponding reliability have long been derived from three major contributors: material strength, loads, and usage. This paper provides a historical perspective of the contribution of aircraft usage to overall U.S. Army rotorcraft dynamic component reliability. A quick background of how we got to a six-nines reliability requirement is first provided. Different types of usage spectra and the nuances and trade-offs of two specific usage gathering methods, pilot surveys and usage monitoring, are discussed. Finally, I describe where usage spectrum fits into fatigue life calculations and the existing reliability policy and requirements. Each OEM (e.g., Bell Helicopter, Boeing, Sikorsky) has been free to develop their own fatigue methods over the years. These differences in method can lead to vastly different results, even with the same input parameters as evidenced by a now well-known round robin problem. There is notable variability between OEM methodologies, each with viable solutions to this trivariate problem. In the interest of normalizing independent U.S. Government (USG) assessments across multiple OEM paradigms, the Army is investigating a USG method to assess the reliability contribution from usage. No new methods are presented herein, only findings of previous work. Uncited opinions herein are those of the author based on literature review, peer discussions, and experience with U.S. Army and U.S. Air Force (USAF) airworthiness processes. Reliability values in this paper are approximate, as there are elements of statistical distribution and non-statistical estimation that contribute.
Craven, Allen
Wear debris monitoring and analysis is a common practice for the condition assessment of engine and transmission health. Oil debris monitoring (ODM) and electronic chip detectors (ECD) are two common methods deployed for continuous monitoring of oil wetted component health in-flight. This study evaluates the diagnostic performance of the two sensing technologies within controlled rolling element bearing (REB) fault experiments. Progressive visual inspection of the REB spall progression through failure provided a ground truth against which both systems could be compared. Quantifiable metrics of reliability, diagnostic accuracy, provided maintenance interval were defined to create a framework for condition-based maintenance (CBM) program decision making. In summary, it was found that the ODM sensor system provided earlier fault notice, but more so, vastly outperformed the ECD in reliability and avoidance of false positives.
Mahmoud, HassanRodger, SteveOszmian, Adam
A framework for statistical comparison between analytical and experimental structural loads has been developed and applied to approximately 100 counters within the UH-60A Airloads test program. This framework relies on established structural load variability methods with novel applications to analytical structural load development maneuver time transient analysis. The analytical results are from Rotorcraft Comprehensive Analysis System (RCAS) spanwise structural loads developed with hub load and spanwise aerodynamic loads prescribed. RCAS consistently under predicted the Coefficient of Variation (COV) associated with spanwise Normal bending when compared to flight data. This resulted in significant scale factors required to achieve a μ+2σ reliability for structural load development. RCAS results for Edgewise bending scale factors proved slightly better than Normal bending in addition to more even over / under prediction of COV when compared to flight data.
Viall, WesleyShotorban, BabakFahimi, Farbod
Validating an Approach to Assess Sensor Perception Reliabilities Without Ground Truth2021-01-00804/6/2021
A reliable environment perception is a requirement for safe automated driving. For evaluating and demonstrating the reliability of the vehicle’s environment perception, field tests offer testing conditions that come closest to the vehicle’s driving environment. However, establishing a reference ground truth in field tests is time-consuming. This motivates the development of a procedure for learning the vehicle’s perception reliability from fleet data without the need for a ground truth, which would allow learning the perception reliability from fleet data. In Berk et al. (2019), a method based on Bayesian inference to determine the perception reliability of individual sensors without the need for a ground truth was proposed. The model utilizes the redundancy of sensors to learn the sensor’s perception reliability. The method was tested with simulated data. In this contribution, we further explore and validate the method by utilizing real data, including ground truth data based on high-resolution LIDAR and human labeling. An area with overlapping field of view from five sensors is selected for the analysis. A basic association method is used to compare the object data obtained from the different sensors. Finally, we compare the sensor perception reliabilities learned from the Bayesian inference model with the sensor perception reliabilities determined from the labeled ground truth. In this paper, it is shown that the model introduced in Berk et al. (2019) can approximate the reference data based on the provided ground truth. The estimated parameters of the model do not perfectly correspond to the sensor reliabilities but are of the same order of magnitude as when derived from the ground truth.
Kryda, MarcoBerk, MarioBuschardt, BorisStraub, Daniel
Object Detection and Tracking for Autonomous Vehicles in Adverse Weather Conditions2021-01-00794/6/2021
Object detection and tracking is a central aspect of perception for autonomous vehicles. While there has been significant development in this field in recent years, many perception algorithms still struggle to provide reliable information in challenging weather conditions which include night-time, direct sunlight, glare, fog, etc. To achieve full autonomy, there is a need for a robust perception system capable of handling such challenging conditions. In this paper, we attempt to bridge this gap by proposing an algorithm that combines the strength of automotive radars and infra-red thermal cameras. We show that these sensors complement each other well and provide reliable data in poor visibility conditions. We demonstrate the advantages of a thermal camera over a visible-range camera in these situations and employ YOLOv3 for object detection. The proposed system utilizes a modified Track-Oriented Multiple Hypothesis Tracking (MHT) algorithm which uses data from these sensors to keep track of the surrounding vehicles. The modifications in the well-known MHT algorithm were introduced in order to curb the exponential growth of possible hypotheses and consequently reduce the computational time without loss of any critical information. To validate the system, we provide a real-time implementation on an urban dataset collected at the Texas A&M University.
Bhadoriya, Abhay SinghVegamoor, Vamsi KrishnaRathinam, Sivakumar
The paper discusses the application of the Array Controlled Turn-less Structures (ACTS) motor for VTOL application. The motor enhances the three main competing characteristics of electric motors; namely specific power, efficiency and reliability. The motor arrays an ensemble of elemental turn-less motors which include turn-less elements each with their dedicated inverters which are operated in synchronism. The resulting small pole size enhances the power density, the enhanced conductor packing enhances the efficiency, and the massive parallelism enhance the reliability. Vertical takeoff requires much higher thrust compared to wing assisted takeoff. With limited on-board power, this higher thrust is presently provided by in ordinary larger propulsion disk area which reduces the craft aerodynamics, and the cruising Lift-to-Drag (L/D) ratio and accordingly the flight efficiency and range. The high specific power of the ACTS motor allows for a different scenario and thus craft architecture. By substantially increasing the takeoff power which is now possible with the higher specific power of the ACTS motor, the propulsion disk area can be substantially reduced, with the resulting greater streamlined, high L/D craft, and thus longer range. The paper discusses key aspect of the motor and inverter architecture and technology. Furthermore, it discusses its application to a high L/D VTOL and prospective performance.
Zucker, OvedDemolder, CarlLe, Thanh
This standard requires the developers and customer/users working as a team to plan and implement a reliability program that provides systems/products that satisfy the user’s requirements and expectations. The user’s requirements and needs are expressed in the form of the following four reliability objectives: The developer shall solicit, investigate, analyze, understand and agree to the user’s requirements and product needs. The developer, working with the customer and user, shall include the activities necessary to ensure that the user’s requirements and product needs are fully understood and defined, so that a comprehensive design specification and Reliability Program Plan can be generated. The developer shall use well-defined reliability- and systems-engineering processes to develop, design, and verify that the system/product meets the user’s documented reliability requirements and needs. The developer shall implement a set of engineering activities (included in this standard as normative activities and informative activities, refer to Section 3) so that the resulting system/product satisfies the customer’s documented requirements and needs. The multifunctional team shall verify during production that the developer has met the user’s reliability requirements and needs prior to fielding. The developer shall include activities that assure the customer that the reliability requirements and product needs have been satisfied. The multifunctional team shall monitor and assess the reliability of the system/product in the field. The team is responsible for identifying the data elements to assess the reliability of the system/product in the field and to ensure the data collected are accurate and complete. The team will establish a closed-loop feedback method to flow recommended improvements (corrective actions) for monitoring reliability growth.
G-41 Reliability
Analytical Model for Calibration Results Performances Enhancement, Resulting in Automated Prescription for Equipments2019-01-18789/16/2019
Most of the decisions taken every day are based on the results of measurements of all different events that occur around us. The reliability of these measurements depends basically on the environment in which they are carried out, the procedure defined and the equipment used, evaluating their different contributions through the uncertainty of measurement. In the case of the measuring equipment, the calibration process associated with adequate traceability provides part of the information necessary to contribute positively to the generation of reliability. However, the physical nature of the instruments means that all of them have a certain degree of drift in their metrological characteristics, which requires users to establish time intervals to confirm the maintenance of the goodness of measurement of such equipment. In this article, a methodological proposal for the processing of calibration data, which makes it possible to establish a systematic approach for the dynamic and flexible establishment of calibration intervals for measuring equipment in industrial environments, is introduced. Finally, the results of a practical experience with this methodology carried out in the Puerto Real plant of the company Airbus, supported by a computer application, are presented.
Contreras, Juan PabloGarcía Lasanta, Juan ManuelMendez-Huelva, DamianGarofano, Jose Enrique
An alternative probabilistic approach is proposed to assess the reliability of rotorcraft structures. According to the approach, safe boundaries of reliability predictions (i.e., conservative ones with additional safety margins) are calculated instead of exact values of the reliability as usually estimated in conventional analysis. Due to additional safety margins, these boundaries are suggested for practical engineering applications. The proposed approach is based on two main ideas, namely a) prediction of a relatively small population of independent coarse estimations of reliability and b) application of sampling methods to predict reliability for each individual coarse estimation. Robustness and convenience of the developed approach and its computational implementation is demonstrated for four scenarios considering two problems (simplified analytical and realistic FEA-based ones) under two sets of input data providing probability of failure (POF) close to 1e-6 and 1e-9, respectively. High accuracy of predictions according to the developed approach is independently verified by comparison with known “exact” references: closed-form solutions for the analytical problem and by direct MCS for the numerical one. The proposed approach can be recommended as an efficient practical solution for a broad range of reliability assessments of rotorcraft structures requiring both i) low POF (e.g., below 1e-6) and ii) relatively complex time-consuming structural definitions (e.g., compute times in hours for each quasi-deterministic simulation).
Frewen, ThomasGurvich, MarkLaBarre, Bob
A Methodology of Design for Fatigue Using an Accelerated Life Testing Approach with Saddlepoint Approximation2019-01-01594/2/2019
We present an Accelerated Life Testing (ALT) methodology along with a design for fatigue approach, using Gaussian or non-Gaussian excitations. The accuracy of fatigue life prediction at nominal loading conditions is affected by model and material uncertainty. This uncertainty is reduced by performing tests at a higher loading level, resulting in a reduction in test duration. Based on the data obtained from experiments, we formulate an optimization problem to calculate the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) values of the uncertain model parameters. In our proposed ALT method, we lift all the assumptions on the type of life distribution or the stress-life relationship and we use Saddlepoint Approximation (SPA) method to calculate the fatigue life Probability Density Functions (PDFs). Finally, a design for fatigue is performed where a Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) process is developed to optimize the system’s characteristics (model parameters, fatigue and/or material properties) which are subject to probabilistic constraints. This optimization problem determines optimal values of system parameters to achieve a fatigue reliability target. We will demonstrate all developments using a representative example.
Tsianika, VasilikiGeroulas, VasileiosPapadimitriou, DimitriosMourelatos, ZissimosHu, ZhenMajcher, Monica
Improvement of Aircraft Availability and Optimization of Component Costs by Pre-Emptive Removal of Targeted Components2019-01-13413/19/2019
Availability of large repairable systems, like aircraft, are critical for commercial operators to generate revenue, and for military organizations to achieve their mission readiness objectives. Of the relatively few studies that deal with improving availability, most have focused on increasing reliability, and not on the biggest driver of low availability - Unscheduled Maintenance Events (UMEs). The cost of maintenance has long been a target of cost-cutting measures, and one common strategy focuses on extracting as much service life as possible out of various non-critical system components by letting those components “run to failure” (as defined in SAE JA1012). However, one of the biggest drawbacks of the “run to failure” approach is that it comes at the cost of lower asset availability because the failure of one of those components will nearly always lead to a UME, typically just when the operator wants to use, or is currently using, that asset. To combat the impact of UMEs, many OEMs, operators, and component manufacturers are looking to prognostics to get advanced notice of impending failures, so monitored components can be replaced before they completely fail. But, for technological and/or economic reasons, prognostics are not a viable option for the vast majority of components. Furthermore, the idea that running components to failure will reduce costs is fundamentally flawed because it fails to account for the extra operational costs incurred from those UMEs. As an alternative to running components to failure or relying only on prognostics, asset operators and maintainers need other strategies to minimize the operational impact of UMEs for components without prognostics that also balances component utilization and the operational costs associated with UMEs against overall asset availability. This paper presents a methodology for evaluating the trade-offs between these factors and shows how this approach can potentially reduce overall asset life-cycle costs.
Lesmerises, Alan
A Process for Delivering Extreme AFP Head Reliability2019-01-13493/19/2019
Every now and then a good idea happens. The Modular head was a great idea and enabled the use of multiple types of AFP heads, ATL, ply cutting, part probing, etc. with the use of a single machine and machining cell. At the time the modular head was developed by Electroimpact circa 2004, the industry assumed (and accepted) that AFP was an unreliable process. It still isn’t as reliable as we’d like. One way of coping with this lack of reliability is to stage more than one head in the AFP cell so that a spare head of the exact same type is ready to jump into action if the head out on the floor has an issue. If the reliability of the AFP process were to increase 10x or 50x, would there still be a business case for the multiple AFP head system? The modular head may still win the day, but the metrics change. For instance, if there was only 20 minutes of down time for every head load, it may no longer be advantageous to have 2 heads of the exact same type in the cell. It is our goal to eliminate AFP process unreliability to the point where this discussion has real meaning. To address the #1 cause of reliability issues experienced in 777x we invented the Modular-Servo-Creel head. We built a full working prototype of this machine and demonstrated it to Boeing and others over the past year. What we learned was indeed we did fix the #1 cause of reliability issues that we see in production of the 777x spar (the loss of tension during large speed changes during the zero degree ply). In the process of using this head other causes for unreliability also came into view. They actually had nothing to do with the theory of operation of the head as we previously experienced with the old creel system, but more to do with preparation. These items are: Head Cleanliness Blade Sharpness A valve that is failing or leaking A seal that is worn or leaking A spring plate that failed Each of these items caused an error on a part that we were trying to make and diagnosis took longer than acceptable causing even more issues on the part until the correct diagnosis and remedy was made. Because we identified these items as potential causes of mistakes on the part, we created a system described in detail in this paper. This section describes a process and method for cleaning the AFP head using a dishwasher, a method for checking blade sharpness and finally a method for checking the module functionality. We demonstrate this this system running our prototype AFP head building 16 plys of the 50’ spar, some stringer charges and then a hexagonal test part placing 100,000 individual tow strips without a process error, not even a slipped tow.
Rudberg, ToddCemenska, JoshuaSherrard, Ethan
Separable and Standard Monte Carlo Simulation of Linear Dynamic Systems Using Combined Approximations02-12-02-00081/25/2019
Reliability analysis of a large-scale system under random dynamic loads can be a very time-consuming task since it requires repeated studies of the system. In many engineering problems, for example, wave loads on an offshore platform, the excitation loads are defined using a power spectral density (PSD) function. For a given PSD function, one needs to generate many time histories to make sure the excitation load is modeled accurately. Global and local approximation methods are available to predict the system response efficiently. Each way has their advantages and shortcomings. The combined approximations (CA) method is an efficient method, which combines the advantages of local and global approximations. This work demonstrates two methodologies that utilize CA to reduce the cost of crude or separable Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) of linear dynamic systems when the excitation loads are defined using PSD functions. The system response is only calculated at a few frequencies within the range of the PSD function, and CA is used to estimate the response for the other frequencies of excitation. This approach significantly reduces the computational time of a crude or separable MCS since it only requires few full analyses of the system depending on the shape of the PSD function. The performances of the proposed methods are demonstrated in two examples.
Norouzi, MahdiNikolaidis, Efstratios
Reliability Case Analysis of an Autonomous Air Cooling System (AACS) for Aerospace Applications2018-01-191610/30/2018
Current More Electric Aircraft (MEA) utilize Liquid Cooling Systems (LCS) for cooling on-board power electronics. In such LCS, coolant pipes around the structure of the aircraft are used to supply water glycol based coolant to sink heat from power electronics and other heat loads in the electronic bay. The extracted heat is then transferred to ram air through downstream heat exchangers. This paper presents a reliability examination of a proposed alternative Autonomous Air Cooling System (AACS) for a twin engine civil MEA case study. The proposed AACS utilizes cabin air as the coolant which is in turn supplied using the electric Environmental Control System (ECS) within the MEA. The AACS consists of electrical blowers allocated to each heat load which subsequently drive the outflow cabin air through the heat sinks of the power electronics for heat extraction. No additional heat exchanger is required after this stage in which the heated air is directly expelled overboard. One key advantage is the avoidance of liquid coolant leakage with the removal of liquid coolant from the MEA. It is necessary that the expected reliability of the AACS is in line with the equivalent LCS and is compliant with Federal Aviation Administration/previous Joint Aviation Authorities (FAA/JAA) reliability limits. Accordingly, this paper evaluates the reliability of the proposed AACS as well as the subsequent operation of safety critical components of the ECS and Electrical Power System (EPS) that the AACS is cooling. The analysis results show that the proposed AACS can provide comparable reliability to an LCS and is expected to be compliant with FAA/JAA reliability limits.
Fong, Chung ManNorman, PatrickSeki, Naoki
Construction of a Multiple Driving Affective Scale2018-01-188810/5/2018
The authors’ goal is to develop brakes that are more satisfying to users in sensory aspects by explaining the relationship between people’s state of mind and a vehicle’s physical quantities. However, there are no scales to measure such feeling. In this study, a psychological scale was constructed to measure the affective state of general automobile drivers, for the purpose of clarifying the effects of brake characteristics on the affective state. To construct the affective scale, two experiments were conducted. In the first experiment, a comparison of four types of vehicles was performed and then an interview survey was conducted to collect a broad sample of terms used to evaluate the affective state. From the results, it was hypothesized that the evaluation terms were divided into eight categories. For each hypothesized category, ten evaluation terms were selected from the terms obtained in the interviews, the items of the existing psychological evaluation scale, and the synonym survey results of them. In the second experiment, we evaluated terms we selected to conduct an assessment of 15 types of driving scenarios that were selected from among brake evaluation patterns. Next, we conducted a factor analysis using the assessment results. As a result, the affective states were classified according to seven factors (Well-Being, Anxiety and Surprise, Liveliness, Positive Feelings, Disgust, Boredom, and Concentration), with five items attached to each factor, yielding a total of 35 items. The reliability and the validity of each scale were investigated. Results have shown that the subscales have highly internal consistency and factorial validity.
Matsuoka, MasanoriMuramatsu, KeiichiKaede, KazunoriWatanuki, KeiichiShiimado, ToshihiroNishizawa, Yukio
ABSTRACT Classical reliability modeling methods such as reliability block diagrams and fault trees express system reliability in terms of the reliability of the constituent subsystems and the architecture of that system. In recent years, prognostics and health management (PHM) has emerged as a promising method to combine sensing and algorithms to estimate important measures of reliability such as the probability that a subsystem possesses sufficient remaining useful life to conduct a mission without failure. This is especially important for mission critical systems. However, methods from classical reliability do not explicitly consider PHM. To overcome this limitation, this paper develops a modeling approach to consider reliability outcomes as well as PHM decisions, which should exhibit strong correlation in order to correctly classify the true state of the subsystem or component as healthy or unhealthy. We draw upon more general reliability modeling methods to characterize the correlation between the state of a subsystem’s reliability and PHM decision. We subsequently propose an approach to obtain analytical expressions to assess system availability and cost in terms of these pairs of subsystem reliabilities and PHM decisions. Models that combine concepts from reliability and PHM will complement existing reliability, availability, and cost models, enabling sensitivity analysis within trade studies that can identify how improvements to subsystem-specific PHM techniques will impact system and fleet-level measures.
Nagaraju, VidhyashreeSpero, EricFiondella, LanceBhattacharya, SaikathGhoshal, Anindya
ABSTRACT The pericyclic transmission provides the opportunity to vastly impact transmission design in rotorcraft due to its ability to provide exceedingly high reduction ratios in a single stage that would normally require multiple gear stages. This could lead to lighter transmissions with fewer components, increased reliability, efficiency, speed and decreased cost to maintain. While many previous studies have focused upon the gearing within the pericyclic transmission, this work focused on what influences pericyclic geometry, and how changes in geometry impact bearing loads. Specifically, the loading of bearings that must deliver power from the input shaft to the nutating and rotating gears of the system were of primary concern. A comprehensive look at dynamic loads generated by nutating bodies was performed. Methods to address these dynamic loads via application of counterbalances, and deviation from conventional pericyclic transmission designs were utilized to negate the dynamic moment of concern. Counterbalances negating the dynamic moment were shown to weigh between 30-50% of the pericyclic motion converter gears in a 40:1 reduction ratio pericyclic design at 12,000 rpm input speed and reduced applied moments by three orders of magnitude. Finally, a static solver was used to determine the bearing loads with updated component geometries and mass moment of inertias that included the required counterbalances.
Cameron, ZacharySmith, EdwardDeSmidt, HansBill, Robert
ABSTRACT Torque indicating issues continue to plague Power Turbine Modules (PTMs) as a top reason for return. These issues can be linked to failed torque and overspeed sensors and PTM torque reference shaft issues including; sticking shafts due to torque stiction and sheared pins connecting PTM drive shafts to torque reference shafts. At the end of the PTM shaft is the pinning hardware for the torque reference shaft. In shipping and during handling of the PTM damage can occur causing the pin to shear and fail. They can fail due to inadvertent contact with the PTM or torque shaft, during shipping and handling, or after prolonged usage. Defining a reliable inspection procedure to make the determination that the PTM shaft is faulty prior to ‘on wing’ installation can save time and money for the operator. In addition, the repair procedure for sheared pin is to replace pinning hardware at Corpus Christi Army Depot (CCAD) machine shop. During the repining of the hardware the holes must be located a minimum distance from each other to preserve the integrity of PT shaft and aft insert parent metal according to the Depot Maintenance Work Requirement manual. In the presence of machine shop error, failing to maintain the minimum distance between pin holes prevents viable PT shafts from use in production. Identifying a process improvement for repair procedures of pin hardware at the machine shop can save time and money invested in overhauled PT shafts for the depot.
Ramos, Victoria
Study on Test Scenarios of Environment Perception System under Rear-End Collision Risk2018-01-10794/3/2018
The foundation of both advanced driving assistance system(ADAS) and automated driving (AD) is an accurate environment perception system(EPS). However, evaluation and test method of EPS are seldom studied. In this paper, naturalistic driving environment was studied and test scenarios for EPS under rear-end collision risk were proposed accordingly. To describe driving environment, a new concept named environment perception element(EPE) was first proposed in this paper, which refers to all the objects that the EPS must perceive during driving. Typical environment perception elements include weather and light conditions, road features, road markings, traffic signs, traffic lights, other vehicles, pedal cyclists and pedestrians and others. Driving behaviors collected in Shanghai, China were classified and rear-end collision risk scenarios were obtained and described using EPEs. Probability distribution of EPEs was therefore obtained. Afterwards, the correlation between EPEs and risk level of scenarios (evaluated by maximum longitudinal deceleration) were revealed by means of Fisher’s Exact Test. Based on these two characteristics of driving environment, typical test scenarios for EPS were established with the help of cluster analysis, and the test scenarios were simulated in Prescan. These test scenarios were generally consistent with the probability distribution of EPEs, making the test results reliable. Results from this paper fill the gap between the high demand of dynamic and representative EPS test scenarios and the existing static picture database used in development and validation of EPS and are of great significance to the development of ADAS and AD in China.
Liu, LinZhu, XichanMa, Zhixiong
EMR with High Reliability for Retrofit of E4100 Riveting Gantry Machines2017-01-20999/19/2017
Electroimpact has retrofitted two E4100 riveting gantry machines and two more are in process. These machines use the EMR (Electromagnetic Riveter) riveting process for the installation of slug rivets. We have improved the skin side EMR to provide fast and reliable results: reliability improved by eliminating a weekly shutdown of the machine. In paper 2015-01-2515 we showed the slug rivet injector using a Synchronized Parallel Gripper that provides good results over multiple rivet diameters. This injector is mounted to the skin side EMR so that the rivet injection can be done at any position of the shuttle table. The EMR is a challenging application for the fingers due to shock and vibration. In previous designs, fingers would occasionally be thrown out of the slots. To provide reliable results we redesigned the fingers retainer to capture the finger in a slotted plastic block which slides along the outside diameter of the driver bearing. The various size fingers are pinned to the block in such a fashion as to allow rotation and clamping on the rivet. The clamping action is provided by opposing wave springs. The design of the fingers and clamping unit are shown in detail. This improvement in the injector (already reported), combined with an improved finger design, has provided unprecedented reliability and rivet rate.
Zieve, Peter B.Gray, TroyWright, Christopher
The Seat Interference Potential as an Indicator for the Aircraft Boarding Progress2017-01-21139/19/2017
Passenger boarding is always part of the critical path of the aircraft turnaround: both efficient boarding and online prediction of the boarding progress are essential for a reliable turnaround progress. However, the boarding progress is mainly controlled by the passenger behavior. A fundamental scientific approach for aircraft boarding enables the consideration of individual passenger behaviors and operational constraints in order to develop a sustainable concept for enabling a prediction of the boarding progress. A reliable microscopic simulation approach is used to model the passenger behavior, where the individual movement is defined as a one-dimensional, stochastic, and time/space discrete transition process. The simulation covers a broad range of behaviors and boarding strategies as well as the integration of new technologies and procedures. Future cabin management systems will provide an enabling infrastructure to further improve the overall turnaround process and to allow for on-line prediction of specific handling processes. The paper provides a method to indicate the progress of the aircraft boarding. In this context, the aircraft seats are used as a sensor network with the capability to detect the status (free or occupied) of each seat. These individual seat statuses are used to derive an aggregated interference potential of the current seating condition with regards to the passenger seating process. The interference potential is a major indicator for the expected aircraft boarding time. In combination with an integrated airline/airport information management (e.g. sequence of boarding passengers) the boarding progress will be transformed from a black box to a transparent progress with the operator’s online ability to react to significant deviations from the planned progress.
Schultz, Michael
ABSTRACT Usage credits may be used to extend retirement lives for structural components. However, any credit substantiation must account for the contribution of conservative usage assumptions to the current level of safety. Structural reliability methods have been proposed as a means to achieve this end. Herein a new, relative method to determine a practically equivalent reliability (and safety) for aircraft fleets is developed using system reliability theory. Simple mathematical examples are used to illustrate the basic principles. A more realistic example based on the AHS Fatigue and Damage Tolerance subcommittee Round Robin problem is presented. These examples show that, even if only a few aircraft in a fleet operate in a severe manner, these aircraft drive the overall fleet reliability. This means that many aircraft may be able to receive credit without having any appreciable change on fleet reliability. A generalized procedure to apply the method to real world problems is developed. Use of the method as part of a certification methodology is presented along with a justification of what change in reliability would be practically equivalent. Application of this method may allow for safe extension of component lives based on usage.
Tucker, BrianMuniz, RickNeus, MichaelGreen, PaulAltman, LeighBarbarin, Alejandro
ABSTRACT A Health and Usage Monitoring System (HUMS) records a large number of flight parameters that can be utilized for regime recognition and tracking of individual rotorcraft usage. The availability of this information from a fleet offers the additional opportunity to work with these large datasets within an Advanced Structural Integrity Framework (ASIF) developed to perform reliability-based design and maintenance, considering durability and damage tolerance. Probabilistic analytical techniques were explored using a sample of UH-60 Integrated Vehicle Health Monitoring System (IVHMS) fleet data that was analyzed for the horizontal stabilator in a case study to estimate the reliability associated with a specified component replacement time and inspection interval. Probabilistic sensitivity studies showed that the deterministic design and substantiation practices used for the horizontal stabilator very closely approximated the industry accepted reliability levels for fatigue and crack growth. The probabilistic methodology also effectively utilized the available IVHMS regime recognition output, but the reliability results depended greatly on assumptions used to describe statistical distributions of key random input parameters, especially loads, which were not available from the fleet data for this component. The ASIF was shown to be a powerful tool for reliability-based management of rotorcraft structural integrity. Further work is needed to confidently configure and fully exploit such methods.
Bates, PrestonGurvich, MarkBordick, NathanielSarlashkar, AvinashDavis, MarkKiser, Jay
ABSTRACT Operations and support cost constitutes nearly 70% of rotorcraft lifecycle cost. When considering new rotorcraft concepts and technology infusion for current concepts, quantitative performance evaluation is undertaken during conceptual design. However, the effect of design decisions on operations and support metrics are typically evaluated qualitatively. Since operation and support costs constitute an overwhelming majority of rotorcraft lifecycle cost, quantitative evaluation of these metrics is required to fully capture the design trade space. To this end, an integrated discrete-event simulation environment is developed to quantify the impact of architectural decisions and subsystem technology infusion on key metrics including the operational availability, system mean time between failures, Maintenance Free Operating Period, repair cost, and maintenance man-hours needed for a given period of operation. Since data needs are immense, it is appropriate to use data from existing platforms to populate unknown fields. An example is presented in this paper for a notional helicopter to demonstrate the use of the discrete-event simulation environment as a tradeoff environment for operations and supportability metrics.
Price, JoshuaAshok, SylvesterArmstrong, RyanCollins, KyleMavris, DimitriSchrage, Daniel
ABSTRACT Reliability analysis of a rotorcraft transmission bolted connection using actual service records data is the focus of this paper. The analysis is conducted for two different bolt materials used in the gearbox to evaluate the difference in reliability. As part of a continued operational safety bolt preload assurance check, the bolted connection between the spiral bevel ring gear and first stage sun gear undergoes a periodic field inspection: the inspection is said to have failed if the application of a prescribed torque to the nut causes the entire bolt assembly to spin. Reliability analysis employs a two-parameter Weibull probability density function to model the life of the bolted connection, with parameters derived using the Maximum Likelihood Estimator method. Results for each bolt type are discussed and an observation is made as one possible explanation for disparity in reliability levels for the two different bolt materials which is supported by direct measurement of bolt tension at initial assembly. As a result of the findings in this paper, recommendations for future work, including modification of the bolted connection assembly procedure, is discussed.
R., JamesRodriquez, StevenPilkington, Lawrence
Opportunity and Challenges for SiC-Based HEV Traction Inverter Systems2017-01-12483/28/2017
Due to global trends and government regulations for CO2 emission reduction, the automotive industry is actively working toward vehicle electrification to improve fuel efficiency and minimize tail-pipe pollutions. Silicon IGBTs and power diodes used in today’s HEV inverter systems are mature and reliable components, but have their limitation on energy losses. SiC, on the other hand, has potential to offer additional boost of efficiency for the HEV drive system. In recent years, commercial SiC MOSFETs have improved significantly in performance. However, reliability concerns and high prices still limit their overall competitiveness against silicon. Ford Motor Company has partnered with semiconductor manufacturers to evaluate SiC products for automotive applications. In this study, 900V SiC MOSFET modules from Wolfspeed are tested and compared with an 800V silicon IGBT module of similar power handling capability. SiC devices were found to have lower power losses during light-load conditions. Furthermore, faster switching speed with optimized packaging and gate driver configuration resulted in substantial reduction of switching losses, although the implications on module manufacturability and cost should be further evaluated. Potential fuel economy benefits on the vehicle level are predicted by simulation over designated drive cycles. In light of the opportunity for next-generation power devices, new challenges need to be addressed, such as system compatibility, switching oscillation, protection methods, component cost, and reliability verification. Should these issues be successfully mitigated, SiC MOSFETs will be attractive for the automotive electric drive system application.
Su, MingChen, ChingchiBhat, Krishna PrasadKikuchi, JunSharma, ShrivatsalLei, Thomas
Items per page:
1 – 50 of 436